Conflict risk escalates amid rising food and water scarcity and inflationary pressures, reports the Institute for Economics & Peace

The Institute for Economics and Peace United States of America Australia Niger Ethiopia Myanmar United Kingdom Netherlands Germany Spain France Switzerland Brazil Mexico Canada Italy

and visionofhumanity.org.

Notes to Editors

(1)The 2023 hotspot countries are:

Burundi 

Cameroon 

Zimbabwe 

Democratic Republic of  

Central African Republic 

Haiti 

the Congo

Chad 

Iraq 

Guinea 

Equatorial Guinea 

Libya 

Niger 

Eritrea 

Mali 

Republic of the Congo 

Ethiopia 

Mauritania 

Somalia 

Guinea-Bissau

Myanmar 

South Sudan 

Sudan 

Nigeria 

Afghanistan 

Uganda 

North Korea 

(2) Global Peace Index 2023

(3) IPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, p71

(4)Positive Peace is defined as the attitudes, institutions and structures that create and sustain peaceful societies. Source

(5)Cities with a population of over 10 million

(6)Ecological Threat Report 2021

About the Ecological Threat Report (ETR)

This is the fourth edition of the ETR which covers 228 independent states and territories. The ETR is unique in that it takes a multi-faceted, machine learning approach to combine measures of resilience with the most comprehensive ecological data available to shed light on the countries least likely to cope with extreme ecological shocks, now and into the future.

Methodology

The ETR includes the most recent and respected scientific research on population growth, water stress, food insecurity, droughts, floods, cyclones, and rising temperature. In addition, the report uses IEP's Positive Peace framework to identify areas where the resilience is unlikely to be strong enough to adapt or cope with these future shocks. The report draws on a wide variety of data sources, including World Bank, World Resources Institute, Food and Agriculture Organisation, the United Nations, the United Nations Human Rights Council, Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre, The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, International Organisation for Migration, and IEP.

About the Institute for Economics & Peace

IEP is an international and independent think tank dedicated to shifting the world's focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human well-being and progress. It has offices in Sydney, Brussels, New York, The Hague, Mexico City and Harare.

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