Gold Soars as Political Turmoil Rattles Dollar Confidence

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A dramatic escalation in tensions between the Trump administration and the Federal Reserve has sent shockwaves through global financial markets. This follows the unprecedented launch of a criminal investigation into Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. In response, institutional capital is flooding into gold as a safe haven, propelling the precious metal to a record peak of $4,630 on Monday. This direct assault on the central bank's independence is fundamentally undermining faith in the U.S. dollar.

• Gold achieved a historic all-time high of $4,630 USD on Monday.
• Citigroup has raised its three-month price target to $5,000 USD.
• Criminal proceedings have been initiated against Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
• Geopolitical flashpoints in Greenland, Iran, and Venezuela are intensifying.
• U.S. inflation data is anticipated today at 14:30.

Geopolitical Instability Fuels Demand

Beyond the domestic institutional crisis, a confluence of international tensions is amplifying gold's appeal. Aggressive U.S. rhetoric toward Greenland, including threats of force, has triggered internal NATO discord, with Germany and the United Kingdom considering a military presence in the Arctic. Simultaneously, the threat of blanket 25% tariffs on all nations trading with Iran risks severe disruption to global supply chains, potentially stoking inflationary pressures. The detention of Venezuela's President Maduro by U.S. forces further highlights a new era of geopolitical unpredictability.

These events are creating a perfect storm for gold. Market participants fear the prospect of politically motivated monetary policy, causing risk premiums for U.S. assets to surge. The resultant institutional shift out of dollar-denominated holdings and into bullion is a primary driver of the current rally.

Analysts Eye the $5,000 Threshold

Major financial institutions are rapidly adjusting their forecasts in light of the turmoil. Analysts at Citigroup have significantly revised their outlook, lifting their three-month target to $5,000. They cite sustained investment momentum and a robust set of bullish factors expected to persist through the first quarter. RBC Capital Markets assesses the metal as firmly entrenched in a trading band between $4,500 and $5,000, identifying prolonged political uncertainty as a persistent catalyst for higher prices.

Inflation Data and Technical Outlook

The market saw some profit-taking on Tuesday, with prices oscillating between $4,580 and $4,600. Trader attention is now sharply focused on the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index release at 14:30. Economists project an inflation rate of 2.7%. A higher reading, potentially exacerbated by protectionist trade policies, could provide the next powerful upward thrust for gold.

From a technical perspective, the $4,550 zone serves as immediate support. A decisive break above Monday’s record high would clear a path toward the psychologically significant $5,000 milestone, a move increasingly supported by the ongoing flight from the U.S. dollar.