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Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage on Coinbase with Bullish Outlook

17.12.2025 - 21:11:04

Coinbase US19260Q1076

A new research note from Deutsche Bank has placed a spotlight on Coinbase, initiating coverage with a buy rating and a price target of $340. This projection suggests a potential upside of approximately 35% from current trading levels. The bullish call coincides with a major product event scheduled by the cryptocurrency exchange for later today, where it is expected to detail its ambitious "Everything Exchange" roadmap.

The optimistic stance from Deutsche Bank analyst Brian Bedell is rooted in Coinbase's ongoing strategic evolution. Bedell highlights the company's transition from a primary focus on cryptocurrency trading toward building a comprehensive on-chain financial infrastructure. This diversification is seen as a key driver for accessing new revenue streams and reducing reliance on the historically volatile retail crypto trading segment.

Bedell's analysis suggests that after a period of significant investment through 2025—a year in which core business growth is projected to exceed 20%—Coinbase will be positioned to scale more efficiently from 2026 onward. In a favorable market environment, revenue growth is anticipated to outpace rising operational costs, with the peak investment phase now considered complete.

Today's "System Update 2025" Event

Scheduled for 2 PM Pacific Time, Coinbase's "System Update 2025" presentation is set to unveil several new initiatives:

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Coinbase?

  • Prediction Markets Partnership: In collaboration with U.S.-based platform Kalshi, Coinbase plans to integrate event-based prediction contracts alongside its crypto offerings. This move directly targets market share from platforms like Polymarket, which cannot serve U.S. customers.
  • Tokenized Securities: The exchange will enter the market for tokenized stocks and other traditional assets, positioning itself in direct competition with firms like Robinhood, Gemini, and Kraken. This aligns with CEO Brian Armstrong's stated goal of establishing Coinbase as a leading consumer financial platform within the next decade.

Regulatory Approval for Indian Market Expansion

In a significant development for its international strategy, Coinbase has received clearance from India's competition authority to acquire a minority stake in DCX Global, the parent company of the Indian crypto exchange CoinDCX. The deal values CoinDCX at around $2.45 billion. The platform serves over 20 million users across India and the Middle East, with an annual trading volume of approximately $165 billion.

This investment deepens an existing partnership, as Coinbase first invested in CoinDCX back in 2020. The move underscores a focused strategy to establish a stronger foothold in high-growth emerging markets, a focus reinforced by CoinDCX's acquisition of BitOasis in 2024.

Strong Financial Foundation

Coinbase enters this new phase from a position of financial strength. For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of $1.9 billion, a 25% increase from the previous quarter, alongside a net profit of $433 million. Consumer trading volume saw a notable 37% jump to $59 billion. Furthermore, 264 institutions are now utilizing the company's developer platform, creating a growing stream of recurring infrastructure revenue that is less dependent on fluctuating trading fees.

Today's product announcements are poised to demonstrate the seriousness of Coinbase's transformational ambitions. Successful execution could allow its stock to benefit from the increasing convergence of traditional and decentralized finance, even as cryptocurrency prices and trading volumes remain central near-term performance drivers.

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