Solana’s, Contradiction

Solana’s Contradiction: Network Strength Meets Market Pressure

23.01.2026 - 17:51:05

Solana CRYPTO000SOL

While Solana's blockchain metrics paint a picture of robust health and growing adoption, its market valuation tells a different story. The digital asset has shed approximately 11% of its value over a single week, a decline driven by a confluence of legal and macroeconomic headwinds. This price action stands in stark contrast to record-breaking staking figures and expanding user activity on the network, creating a puzzling divergence for observers.

A significant source of recent pressure stems from a newly filed class-action lawsuit targeting key ecosystem players. The legal action names both the Solana Foundation and Pump.fun, a major platform for meme coin creation within the Solana ecosystem. This development introduces regulatory uncertainty that risks dampening developer momentum and eroding investor confidence.

Beyond the legal sphere, broader financial currents are exerting force. Mounting geopolitical tensions, including discussions around potential U.S. actions concerning Greenland and new European tariff plans, have fueled a "Sell U.S." trend that has spilled over into cryptocurrency markets. A telling data point reveals a substantial capital migration: over the past 30 days, roughly $2.7 billion worth of stablecoins have exited the Solana network, marking a 17% decrease. This capital appears to be seeking new opportunities elsewhere. Notably, Ethereum also experienced minor outflows of about 1%, indicating funds are not simply rotating to its primary competitor.

Underlying Network Health Defies Price Weakness

Despite the negative price action, on-chain data reveals a foundation of considerable strength. The total value of SOL tokens committed to staking has reached an unprecedented $60 billion. Approximately 70% of all SOL supply is now staked, signaling strong long-term holder conviction and a reduction in immediately sellable supply.

Growth is also evident in Solana's decentralized finance (DeFi) sector. The Total Value Locked (TVL) has climbed from $8.8 billion to $9.2 billion within a month. Viewed from a longer-term perspective, the TVL has nearly tripled from $4.6 billion at the end of 2024 to around $12.2 billion by the close of 2025.

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The network's utility for traders remains high, facilitated by its speed and low transaction costs. Solana-based decentralized exchanges processed a substantial $111 billion in trading volume during April 2025, representing a 14% increase from the previous month.

Development Momentum Continues Unabated

Positive developments continue to emerge from the ecosystem. Ondo Finance announced plans to enable trading of traditional financial assets, such as Nvidia and Microsoft shares, on the Solana blockchain. This initiative represents a potential bridge between conventional and decentralized finance, even though its announcement was unable to reverse the prevailing market sentiment.

Furthermore, a $35 million fund has been launched to support early-stage projects building on Solana. Investment interest remains vigorous; projects within the ecosystem raised $173 million in the third quarter of 2024 alone, marking the strongest quarterly figure since 2022. Institutional engagement is also visible, with Solana spot ETFs recording significant net inflows as recently as January 21, 2026.

Technical Landscape and Path Forward

From a chart perspective, critical support zones are situated between $125 and $130. A break below this area could see the price test the December low near $118. The 50-day moving average currently provides resistance around $132, while a more significant hurdle lies in the $140 to $150 range.

The current dichotomy between declining prices and strengthening network fundamentals is likely to persist until one of two conditions is met: either the cloud of legal uncertainty is lifted, or the broader cryptocurrency market regains its bullish momentum. A return of stablecoin deposits to the Solana network would serve as a key leading indicator for such a shift.

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