Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction Today: Can XRP Break Resistance or Is Another Dip Coming?
22.01.2026 - 12:32:09
Ripple (XRP) Price Action (Status Quo)
Ripple (XRP/USD) on 2026-01-22 is trading in a classic squeeze: price is stuck between strong buyers below and aggressive sellers above. Over the last few sessions, XRP tried to push higher but failed to hold above the recent swing highs, showing that bulls are active but not fully in control yet.
The short-term trend is mildly bullish: higher lows are forming, but the highs are still capped at a key resistance zone. That means you’re in a range-to-uptrend transition, not in a clean breakout yet. For short-term traders, every spike into resistance is being sold, while dips into support are quickly bought back.
This kind of price action is typical when the market is waiting for a trigger: fresh Ripple news on the SEC lawsuit, new regulatory headlines, or big macro numbers from the US economy. Until that trigger appears, XRP stays choppy and emotional – perfect for active crypto trading, but dangerous if you overleverage or chase candles.
Ripple News, SEC Situation & Market Mood
The big fundamental story for Ripple is still the US regulatory backdrop. The long-running SEC vs. Ripple case and the broader discussion about whether XRP is a security continue to hang over the project. Every small headline about the lawsuit status or US regulation tends to spike volatility: when the news sounds positive, XRP jumps; when it sounds negative, buyers instantly step back.
At the same time, the broader crypto market is trading like a macro asset: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins, including XRP, react directly to US inflation, interest rate expectations, and risk sentiment. When markets expect easier monetary policy, crypto usually catches a bid. When bond yields rise and the dollar strengthens, risk assets, including XRP, get sold.
Impact of US-Economy & Crypto News Today
On the macro side, today’s economic calendar is packed with high-impact (3-star) US events that can shake XRP/USD in both directions. Traders are watching US inflation-related releases and any data that might shift expectations around the next Federal Reserve rate decision.
Why does this matter for XRP? Because:
1) Higher inflation or hotter data can push the Fed to stay hawkish. That usually supports the US dollar and hurts risk assets – including crypto. In such a scenario, XRP often struggles to break resistance and is more likely to test support.
2) Softer data that suggests easing inflation or weaker growth can push markets to price in lower future interest rates. That usually helps Bitcoin, altcoins, and XRP, as traders move into higher-risk assets looking for bigger returns.
So when those high-impact US numbers hit, you often see a violent move in XRP: either a fast breakout through resistance or a sharp rejection and dump back to support. If you’re planning a Ripple price prediction for today, you can’t ignore the economic calendar – it’s the main volatility driver.
XRP Analysis: Key Support & Resistance Levels
From a technical perspective, XRP is trading in a well-defined zone where both buyers and sellers are clearly visible in the chart. The market has already tested the lower levels several times and bounced, which confirms strong dip-buying interest. On the upper side, there’s a cluster of recent highs where price repeatedly got rejected – that’s your line in the sand for a real breakout.
Here’s a simplified support/resistance map you can use for your XRP price target planning:
| Level | Type | Comment |
| Key Support 1 | Support | First line of defense. As long as XRP holds above this zone, short-term bulls remain in the game. |
| Key Support 2 | Support | Stronger downside floor. A break below here would open the door for a deeper correction. |
| Intraday Pivot | Pivot | Battlefield between bulls and bears. Above it, bias is slightly bullish; below, the tone turns bearish. |
| Key Resistance 1 | Resistance | First serious barrier. A clean breakout above this level could trigger FOMO buying. |
| Key Resistance 2 | Resistance | Major upside target. If XRP closes above here, the medium-term Ripple price prediction turns clearly bullish. |
You can use these zones as reference points for entries, stop losses, and partial profit-taking. Always remember: levels are zones, not exact numbers. Price often overshoots by a small margin before snapping back.
Ripple Price Prediction & XRP Price Target Scenarios
Let’s break down two simple, no-nonsense scenarios you can use for your own XRP analysis:
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play)
– XRP holds above the nearest support after the US data hits and the whole crypto market stabilizes or turns higher.
– Bitcoin and large-cap altcoins show risk-on behavior (higher highs, strong volume).
– XRP finally breaks and closes above Key Resistance 1 with strong volume.
In that case, many traders will look for a short-term XRP price target near the next resistance zone (Key Resistance 2). Momentum players will jump in, and you often get a fast move as short sellers panic-cover. For this scenario, a tight invalidation is a daily close back under Key Resistance 1 – that’s your signal that the breakout has failed.
Bearish Scenario (Failed Breakout / Breakdown)
– US economic data comes in hotter than expected, pushing yields and the dollar up.
– Crypto sentiment turns risk-off, with Bitcoin dropping and altcoins following.
– XRP fails to hold the intraday pivot and slices through Key Support 1.
Here, the path of least resistance is down. Traders may target Key Support 2 as the next downside magnet. If that level breaks on a closing basis, it can turn into a proper flush, forcing overleveraged long positions to liquidate. In that case, any Ripple price prediction must switch from "range and bounce" to "defensive mode" until a new bottom forms.
Concrete Trading Setup & Conclusion
To keep things simple, you can build a straightforward crypto trading plan around these ideas:
1) Wait for the US data first. Don’t guess. Let volatility hit, then react. Check how XRP behaves in the first 30–60 minutes after the high-impact numbers.
2) Use the intraday pivot as your bias filter.
– Trading above pivot: focus on long setups towards Key Resistance 1 and possibly Key Resistance 2.
– Trading below pivot: focus on short setups or stay in cash, looking for moves towards Key Support 1 and Key Support 2.
3) Trigger for longs (bullish setup).
– Price reclaims pivot after the news spike.
– XRP breaks above Key Resistance 1 with strong candle bodies and rising volume.
– Entry: on retest of Key Resistance 1 turned support or on a confirmed breakout candle.
– Stop: just below the breakout zone.
– First target: mid-range between Resistance 1 and Resistance 2.
– Second target: Key Resistance 2.
4) Trigger for shorts (bearish setup).
– XRP fails at Resistance 1 and prints a clear rejection (long wick, close back below).
– Or, XRP loses Key Support 1 after the macro data and cannot reclaim it.
– Entry: on retest of broken support/resistance from below.
– Stop: just above the failed level.
– Target: first at the pivot, then at Key Support 2.
5) Risk management. Keep position size small around macro events. XRP is volatile; even "normal" candles can be big. Don’t risk more than a small fraction of your trading capital per idea. Use hard stops, not mental ones.
In summary, today’s Ripple price prediction is all about reaction to US macro data and how the XRP chart behaves around the clearly defined support and resistance zones. If bulls can break and hold above resistance, the next XRP price target lies higher, with momentum on your side. If sellers win and support fails, expect a deeper flush before the next big bounce.
Trade the levels, respect the volatility, and never forget: the goal is to survive the noise so you’re still here when the next big XRP rally actually starts.
Ignore the warning & trade Ripple anyway
Risk Warning: Financial instruments, especially Crypto CFDs, are highly speculative and carry an extreme risk of losing money rapidly. The volatility of cryptocurrencies is very high. You should consider whether you understand how these instruments work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
