Hercules, Capital

Hercules Capital Shares Poised for Gains on Upbeat Preliminary Results

10.02.2026 - 10:15:05

Hercules Capital US4270965084

Investor attention is fixed on Hercules Capital, Inc. (NYSE: HTGC) ahead of its full fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2025 earnings release, scheduled for after the U.S. market closes on Thursday. Preliminary data issued by the business development company points to a strengthening financial position and an improving credit portfolio, setting a positive tone for the official report.

Key figures released in advance show a company in robust health. The net investment income (NII) for Q4 is anticipated to land between $0.47 and $0.49 per share. Perhaps more significantly, the estimated net asset value (NAV) per share is projected to rise to a range of $12.10 to $12.16. This marks an increase from the $12.05 NAV reported at the end of the previous quarter. The quarter was also active on the investment front, with gross new commitments reaching approximately $1.0 billion.

Portfolio Health and Strategic Financing

A notable improvement is seen in the quality of Hercules Capital's investment portfolio. The company expects its non-accrual loan rate—a key indicator of credit health—to have fallen below 0.5% by the close of 2025. This represents a substantial decline from the 1.2% rate recorded at the end of September, underscoring effective risk management.

To fuel its continued growth in venture lending, the company strategically bolstered its balance sheet last Thursday. Hercules Capital successfully placed a $300 million institutional note, carrying a coupon of 5.350% and maturing in 2029. This financing move is aligned with its strategy to support new growth initiatives with targeted capital.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Hercules Capital?

Sector Context and Regulatory Disclosure

The broader market environment for business development companies remains firm. Peer Ares Capital Corporation delivered results last week that met expectations, driven primarily by higher investment income.

In a separate regulatory disclosure, congressional filings revealed that U.S. Representative Virginia Foxx divested Hercules Capital stock valued at up to $100,000 in mid-January. Such transactions are part of standard transparency requirements for elected officials and are not directly related to the company's operational performance.

All eyes will now turn to Thursday's detailed financial report. Market participants will be keen to see if management can confirm that the strong pace of new commitments has carried over into the first quarter of 2026.

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