Backs, Nel

EU Backs Nel ASA’s Expansion with Major Funding Injection

13.12.2025 - 09:52:05

Nel ASA NO0010081235

Norwegian hydrogen technology firm Nel ASA has secured a significant boost from European Union funding, providing momentum for its next-generation production plans. The company's final investment decision (FID) for a new manufacturing line, backed by substantial EU grants, has been positively received by the market, offering a potential counterbalance to ongoing cost pressures within the hydrogen sector.

Central to the announcement is a commitment of up to €135 million from the EU Innovation Fund. This public financing supports the establishment of a new production line for Nel's "Next Generation Pressurized Alkaline" electrolyzers at its Herøya site in Norway.

Key financial and operational details include:
* Initial Phase Capacity: The first stage targets a production capacity of up to 1 GW.
* Total Project Investment: Approximately 300 million Norwegian Kroner (NOK) for the initial 1 GW phase, before accounting for grants.
* Immediate Funding: An initial disbursement of over €10 million follows the FID.
* Grant Coverage: The EU funding is structured to cover up to 60% of relevant investment and operational costs for a planned total capacity build-out of 4 GW over time.

This subsidy structure substantially lowers the net financial burden on Nel for the expansion, effectively transferring a portion of the project risk to the public sector.

Market Response and Strategic Timing

The investment decision marks a pivotal shift from a multi-year development program into industrial-scale manufacturing. The underlying technology has been under development since 2018.

The projected timeline is now set:
* Commercial Production Start: First half of 2026.
* Volume Deliveries Begin: 2027.

Investors responded favorably to the proportion of secured funding relative to the total investment required. On Friday, Nel's share price advanced 4.11% to close at NOK 2.38, reaching its highest level in a month. This performance notably outpaced the broader OBX Index, which registered only marginal gains.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Nel ASA?

Addressing Sector-Wide Cost Challenges

This move represents Nel's transition into large-scale industrial production, a critical step in an industry grappling with profitability challenges and the need to reduce the Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH).

The new pressurized alkaline platform utilizes a modular, skid-based design. The primary objectives are to lower system capital expenditure (CAPEX) and enhance energy efficiency—two essential levers for decreasing the overall cost of green hydrogen production.

The prominent role of the EU Innovation Fund underscores the current importance of public capital in scaling green hydrogen technologies. Compared to previous industry cycles where capacity expansions heavily strained corporate balance sheets, this funding provides a more robust capital structure for Nel.

The share price gain also distinguishes the company from competitors who may be struggling to finalize major capital commitments in a higher interest rate environment.

Focus Shifts to Execution

Attention in the coming quarters will center on the execution of the Herøya project. Adherence to the timeline leading to the 2026 production start and the successful ramp-up of capacity will be crucial.

The immediate liquidity injection of over €10 million strengthens the company's short-term financial position. In the medium term, the market will be watching for the new production line's impact on revenue and earnings in 2026 and 2027. A cautious "hold" stance currently prevails among analysts. While the technological roadmap is clear, the full earnings impact of the capacity expansion will likely only become visible once volume shipments commence.

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