Contrarian, Bet

A Contrarian Bet: Cathie Wood’s ARK Invests Millions in The Trade Desk Amid Steep Decline

05.12.2025 - 07:09:04

The Trade Desk US88339J1051

While many investors have been exiting their positions, Cathie Wood's ARK Investment Management executed a significant and contrarian trade this week. The firm's exchange-traded funds purchased over 200,000 shares of advertising technology company The Trade Desk, a transaction valued at nearly $8 million. This substantial acquisition was notably funded by selling portions of ARK's holdings in Meta Platforms.

The move represents a clear strategic shift, pivoting capital from a Big Tech giant to a specialized stock that has experienced a severe correction. The Trade Desk's shares have lost more than 70% of their value since the start of the year, now trading at levels last seen in 2020. By making this purchase, ARK's management appears to be signaling its view that the sell-off has created a strategic buying opportunity with a substantial margin of safety. This perspective finds support from CW Advisors LLC, which also recently increased its stake in the company.

The dramatic price drop has fundamentally altered the stock's valuation profile. With shares closing at €33.78 on Thursday, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio now sits at approximately 45. Market analysts are divided on what this means. Some optimistic observers point to financial models suggesting the stock is significantly undervalued at current levels. A more skeptical camp, however, cites discounted cash flow analyses indicating that, even after the steep decline, the shares are not necessarily a bargain compared to industry peers.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying The Trade Desk?

Operationally, the company demonstrated resilience in its latest quarterly report. Third-quarter revenue increased by 17.7%, and earnings per share surpassed market expectations. In a bid to bolster market confidence, The Trade Desk's board authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program. This decision is widely interpreted as a strong signal that the company's own leadership believes its stock is undervalued.

Internal Restructuring and Market Challenges

The company is taking internal measures to navigate a challenging market environment. It has appointed new leadership for the roles of Chief Operating Officer (COO) and Chief Revenue Officer (CRO), aiming to enhance operational efficiency. This management realignment comes at a critical juncture, following unconfirmed reports that major client Omnicom may have shifted advertising budgets to competitor Amazon. Although The Trade Desk has denied these rumors, the uncertainty has contributed to negative investor sentiment.

From a technical analysis standpoint, the stock is currently in a phase of consolidation, testing key support levels established back in 2020. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads a neutral 50.4, which may suggest the intense selling pressure is beginning to abate. Whether a definitive price floor has been established now depends on whether institutional buying from firms like ARK generates a broader signal to the market and if these crucial support levels can hold.

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