The Trade Desk Faces Downward Pressure Ahead of Key Earnings
13.02.2026 - 16:11:05
Key points at a glance:
- New 52-Week Low: $26.01 on Thursday
- Upcoming Event: Q4 2025 results due on Wednesday, February 25, 2026
- Guidance in Focus: Revenue expected to be at least $840 million; adjusted EBITDA around $375 million
- CFO Update: Tahnil Davis appointed Interim CFO at the end of January
Technical backdrop and market mood
On Thursday, the shares closed slightly above the intraday trough at roughly $26.16. The stock remains entrenched in a broader downtrend that has squeezed valuations over the past year. Market data show the shares trading well below key technical levels, including major moving averages.
Momentum indicators reinforce the cautious tone, with the RSI slipping into oversold territory. Compounding the negative sentiment is a still-challenging environment for the digital advertising space, where downside momentum can persist longer than investors expect.
Q4 results as the next major checkpoint
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying The Trade Desk?
The next material catalyst is the Q4 2025 report, slated for release on Wednesday, February 25, 2026. The crucial question is whether the results can at least stabilize sentiment that has swung to the negative side in recent sessions. Market reaction is likely to hinge on whether the company meets or beats the previously communicated targets.
Management had laid out expectations for the fourth quarter of at least $840 million in revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of about $375 million. These figures are expected to guide the short-term response from traders and analysts.
Leadership changes and revised price targets
The late-January development in the finance function saw Tahnil Davis named as Interim CFO, taking over from Alexander Kayyal. The timing places the leadership transition squarely within the earnings season, adding an extra layer of uncertainty for investors.
Several research houses—KeyBanc and Truist Securities among them—trimmed their price targets in late January and early February, reflecting a more cautious view of the sector. Despite these adjustments, a sizable portion of the analyst community still maintains buy recommendations for The Trade Desk.
Looking ahead to the earnings print on February 25, the market will be looking for confirmation of the $840 million revenue target and roughly $375 million in adjusted EBITDA. Meeting or beating these numbers could provide some relief to a stock that has already reached a new annual low.
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