The, Fear

The Fear Factor: How Nvidia’s CEO Fuels a $4.4 Trillion Juggernaut

07.12.2025 - 16:56:04

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Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang is steering a company with a staggering $4.4 trillion market capitalization, yet he operates with the mindset of an entrepreneur whose business could vanish within a month. In a recent high-profile discussion, Huang revealed that a persistent fear of failure is his core motivation—a psychological driver that likely reassures, rather than alarms, the investment community. This comes as fresh analysis highlights the severe performance penalty paid by fund managers who exclude the AI leader based on rigid valuation metrics.

The company’s strategic expansion continues apace. Reports from South Korea confirm the deployment of 260,000 Nvidia GPUs with industrial conglomerates like Samsung and Hyundai. This move transcends mere hardware sales, representing a deeper integration into smart manufacturing processes. This push into "Physical AI," which merges artificial intelligence with robotics, is widely seen as the next major growth frontier following generative AI, further widening Nvidia's competitive moat.

The Cost of Exclusion in Portfolios

The critical importance of holding Nvidia shares has been thrown into sharp relief by a performance comparison between two prominent "Quality" factor ETFs. The iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) maintained its position in the chipmaker, while the Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF (SPHQ) excluded the stock during earlier rebalances due to specific accounting-based screens.

The outcome is unequivocal: the fund that effectively bet against the AI market leader significantly trailed its peer. This demonstrates that traditional quality factors can fail to capture the real cash-flow explosion driven by AI infrastructure build-out. Currently, the market is mercilessly punishing portfolios that lack exposure to Nvidia.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Nvidia?

A Leadership Philosophy Against Complacency

Huang elaborated that Nvidia perpetually feels roughly "30 days from going out of business." This near-paranoid stance is not a sign of instability but a deliberate strategy to combat corporate smugness—a common threat to firms at the peak of their power. For shareholders, it signals that the tech behemoth will continue to be run with the urgency and survival instinct of a startup, avoiding the pitfalls of bureaucratic inertia. Huang added that this "fear of failure" drives him to work seven days a week.

Market Technicals and Valuation Context

On the trading floor, Nvidia's stock has exhibited volatility but found stability following a pullback in November. Shares closed Friday at 156.66 euros. From a technical perspective, the price remains firmly above the key 200-day moving average of 136.35 euros, confirming the longer-term upward trend. Analysts largely interpret the current consolidation phases positively, especially given foundational strengths like gross margins exceeding 73 percent.

Forward Perspective

As a new trading week begins, the confluence of Huang's uncompromising leadership narrative and the empirical evidence from ETF performance data creates a solid foundation for investor confidence. Market observers are likely to interpret the underperformance of Nvidia-excluding strategies as a clear directive to retain the stock as a core holding, even at elevated valuations. A sustained breakout above nearby resistance levels would further reinforce the prevailing bullish thesis for the equity.

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