Ternium Shares Reach Fresh Annual Peak Amid Strategic Expansion

Ternium US8808901081

The stock of steel producer Ternium has surged to a new 52-week high, closing at $44.16 in the latest trading session. This milestone arrives as the market anticipates the company's upcoming earnings release, with investors weighing its recent strategic moves in Latin America against a backdrop of previous quarterly weakness.

The recent share price strength appears closely linked to Ternium's concrete expansion efforts across its core markets. In a significant move to bolster its downstream processing capabilities, Ternium Argentina finalized the acquisition of TASA (Tubos Argentinos Sociedad Anónima) in mid-January 2026.

Concurrently, the company is advancing a major $4 billion investment in its Pesquería industrial complex located in Nuevo León, Mexico. This project, slated for completion within the 2026 calendar year, is designed to boost production of cold-rolled and galvanized steel, primarily serving the automotive and home appliance industries. Analysts view this expenditure as a direct play to capitalize on the "nearshoring" trend in North America and to harness benefits from the USMCA trade agreement.

All Eyes on Forthcoming Quarterly Results

Market participants are now focused on the financial figures for the fourth quarter of 2025, scheduled for release after the U.S. market closes on February 17, 2026. The subsequent analyst conference call the following day will be scrutinized for confirmation of an operational turnaround.

Expectations are set for a substantial quarter-over-quarter improvement. The consensus among analysts points to an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of approximately $1.48. This forecast stands in stark contrast to the Q3 2025 results, which disappointed with an EPS of just $0.10 on revenue of $3.95 billion.

Technical and Analytical Perspectives

From a technical standpoint, the equity's performance is notable for its decisive break above key moving averages. The share price has moved well beyond both the 50-day line, situated at $39.14, and the 200-day line at $35.88, signaling robust bullish momentum.

This price action has already surpassed the adjusted outlook of some institutional observers. Wells Fargo revised its assessment on January 23, raising its price target from $30.00 to $34.00—a level the stock has now comfortably exceeded. At the current trading price, Ternium offers a dividend yield of roughly 4.15%.

Key Data Point	Value
52-Week High	$44.16 (January 29, 2026)
Dividend Yield	~4.15%
Next Earnings Date	February 17, 2026
Recent Acquisition	TASA (January 2026)
Capital Project	$4bn Pesquería Expansion
200-Day Moving Average	$35.88

The central question for the market is whether the upcoming operational results can validate the current optimism reflected in the share price. Achieving the projected $1.48 EPS would provide a strong signal of a sustained recovery, potentially marking a definitive reversal from the company's earlier period of softer performance.