Procter, Gamble

Procter & Gamble Shares Under Pressure as Finance Chief Warns of U.S. Consumer Weakness

05.12.2025 - 03:18:04

Procter & Gamble US7427181091

Procter & Gamble, a company long viewed as a stable haven for investors, is signaling potential trouble. The consumer goods giant's Chief Financial Officer, Andre Schulten, issued a stark warning this week concerning a noticeable pullback in U.S. consumer spending, sending the stock to its lowest point in two years. With sales volumes softening, the market is now questioning whether this is a temporary setback or indicative of a deeper, structural shift in American consumer behavior.

The immediate market reaction was severe. P&G shares continued their downward trajectory, hitting a new 52-week low of €124.80. The stock's decline for the year now approaches 23%, putting it on track for what market observers note could be its worst annual performance since the 2008 financial crisis. The CFO's caution carries significant weight because Procter & Gamble's diverse product portfolio often serves as a reliable barometer for broader consumer sentiment.

A Cautious Outlook for the Current Quarter

Speaking at a Morgan Stanley industry conference on Tuesday, Schulten moved to temper expectations. He reported that U.S. sales in categories relevant to P&G saw a "significant decline" in both volume and value during October.

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He offered little hope for a near-term rebound. "I don't expect November to be materially different," Schulten added, painting a concerning picture for the company's current fiscal quarter. He characterized the U.S. market environment as "likely the most volatile we have seen in a long time." While some consumer nervousness was anticipated, the degree of caution appears more pronounced than previously expected.

A Convergence of Economic Headwinds

Company management pointed to a mix of specific factors behind the current weakness, highlighting pressures that extend far beyond P&G and reflect broader U.S. economic conditions:

  • Government Disruption: The temporary government shutdown disrupted typical consumer spending patterns.
  • Benefit Delays: Postponements in the distribution of SNAP food assistance benefits directly impacted lower-income households.
  • Difficult Comparisons: A port strike in late 2024 led to inventory stockpiling at that time, creating a challenging year-over-year comparison base.
  • Bifurcated Spending: Consumer behavior is splitting: lower-income households are increasingly opting for cheaper private-label goods ("trading down"), while wealthier customers continue to purchase premium brands.

Investors are now closely monitoring whether the CFO's pessimistic assessment will be reflected in upcoming quarterly results and if these identified pressures will persist into 2026.

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