Nvidia Shares Gain Momentum Ahead of Earnings Release
09.02.2026 - 20:34:04Investor optimism is building around Nvidia as the company approaches the publication of its critical quarterly results. With the report scheduled for February 25, recent announcements from its largest clients are providing compelling reasons for a bullish outlook. The massive capital expenditure plans for 2026 unveiled by Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms are set to directly benefit the chipmaker, which dominates its sector.
The latest disclosures from U.S. technology leaders leave little room for doubt regarding the ongoing demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure. Amazon’s CEO Andy Jassy has indicated plans for approximately $200 billion in capital investments for 2026, driven by what he described as "very high demand." Alphabet intends to nearly double its expenditures compared to the prior year, with a projected budget ranging from $175 to $185 billion. Not to be outdone, Meta Platforms has allocated up to $135 billion for similar purposes.
This aggressive spending trajectory is crucial for Nvidia. The corporation is estimated to control about 92 percent of the data center GPU market, positioning it to capture a significant portion of these enormous budgets. This positive sentiment is reflected in the equity's performance; the stock currently trades at $191.27, moving closer once more to its 52-week high of $199.05.
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Concentration and Forward Guidance
The upcoming earnings release will reveal whether this positive momentum was already evident in Nvidia’s fiscal fourth quarter. The company’s own guidance forecasts revenue growth of roughly 65 percent year-over-year, which would represent an acceleration from the third quarter. Market participants are closely monitoring customer concentration. According to analyses, just four firms—Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Alphabet—account for approximately 40 percent of Nvidia’s total sales.
Regulatory Shifts and Next-Generation Technology
Beyond its core U.S. operations, the Chinese market is returning to focus. Previous export restrictions had drastically reduced revenue from the region, but new regulatory approvals now permit the sale of H200 chips in China, potentially opening an additional revenue stream. On the technological front, the company is already looking ahead. Production of the next-generation "Rubin" architecture, the successor to the current Blackwell generation, is underway and is slated for a commercial launch later this year.
The key catalyst for the stock’s near-term direction is imminent. Nvidia will disclose its official financial figures after the market closes on February 25, followed by a conference call at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. This event will clarify whether the semiconductor giant can once again surpass its own ambitious projections.
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