Lynas, Shares

Lynas Shares Surge as Soaring Rare Earth Prices Offset Production Woes

21.01.2026 - 12:18:04

Lynas AU000000LYC6

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. saw its stock price rally strongly on Wednesday, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the face of operational headwinds. Investors enthusiastically received the company's quarterly results, choosing to focus on a dramatic improvement in pricing that overshadowed reports of a significant drop in physical output.

The market's positive reaction underscores Lynas's valued role as a major non-Chinese supplier in a geopolitically charged environment. Supportive measures, including price floors instituted in the United States, have contributed to a highly lucrative market for rare earths outside of China.

Alongside the financial figures, the company announced that CEO Amanda Lacaze will step down at the conclusion of the 2026 financial year. This long-term leadership uncertainty was largely overlooked by the market in the current session, with attention fixed on the robust financial performance and favorable market dynamics.

Financially, the company remains on solid ground, boasting a cash balance of AUD 1.03 billion. Quarterly sales revenue alone reached AUD 185 million, providing substantial liquidity as management addresses the recent operational constraints.

Revenue Defies Falling Production Volumes

For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, Lynas reported a impressive 43% year-on-year revenue increase to AUD 201.9 million. This result is particularly notable given that physical production actually contracted during the period.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Lynas?

The output of rare earth oxides fell sharply to 2,382 tonnes, down from nearly 4,000 tonnes in the prior quarter. Production of the critical Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr) product was especially impacted, declining approximately 30% to 1,404 tonnes. This reduction was attributed to power outages at the Kalgoorlie facility and planned maintenance activities at the Malaysian operation site.

Price Rally Compensates for Operational Shortfalls

The disconnect between lower production and higher revenue is explained by a surge in realized selling prices. The average price achieved skyrocketed 74% to AUD 85.60 per kilogram, a substantial jump from AUD 49.20 per kilogram in the same quarter last year.

This powerful pricing environment enabled Lynas to generate significantly greater income despite shipping fewer tonnes, with geopolitical tensions and state support mechanisms creating a tailwind.

Key Financial and Operational Highlights:

  • Quarterly Revenue: AUD 201.9 million (a 43% year-on-year increase)
  • Average Selling Price: AUD 85.60/kg (prior year: AUD 49.20/kg)
  • Cash on Hand: AUD 1.03 billion
  • Stock Performance: Intraday gains of up to 8%
  • Leadership: CEO Amanda Lacaze announces retirement effective end of FY 2026

Following today's advance, the share price is trading near its 52-week high and has more than doubled on a year-to-date basis. Investors are clearly rewarding the company's strategic positioning and expressing confidence that the issues at Kalgoorlie are temporary, while elevated market prices continue to underpin profitability.

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