Amerisafe Shares Hit Lowest Point in a Year

Amerisafe US03071H1005

Shares of the workers' compensation insurer Amerisafe continued their downward trajectory in Friday's trading session, closing at a fresh 52-week low. The stock was weighed down by a confluence of negative factors, resulting in a single-day decline exceeding five percent.

The equity opened significantly lower and proceeded to fall to $37.01 by the session's close, marking a drop of approximately 5.7% from its previous closing price. This sell-off coincided with the stock going ex-dividend for a special $1.00 payout. However, the severity of the price movement suggests underlying pressures beyond this expected adjustment.

Sentiment was further dampened by regulatory filings showing insider selling. Outgoing Chief Financial Officer Anastasios Omiridis reported the sale of 689 Amerisafe shares on Friday. This transaction follows his previously announced resignation, effective November 30, and a separate sale executed earlier in November.

Analyst Sentiment and Earnings Forecast

The current weakness unfolds against a backdrop of cautious analyst commentary. While the average price target for Amerisafe shares remains at $55.00, sustaining a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating, recent analyst notes have emphasized expectations for declining profitability. Market researchers project a 15% decrease in earnings for the coming year. This follows a already challenging prior period, which saw the company's net income contract by 18%.

From a technical perspective, the breach below key moving averages and the establishment of a new annual low point to persistently weak momentum for the stock.

Upcoming Catalyst: Financial Results

The next significant milestone for investors will be the release of Amerisafe's fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, anticipated in late February 2026. Market participants will be scrutinizing the report for any strategic initiatives management outlines to reverse the current negative earnings trend.