Almonty Industries Stock Gains on Strategic Positioning and Shareholder Clarity

Almonty CA0203981034

Shares of Almonty Industries opened the week with significant momentum, posting a notable gain amid heightened trading activity. The move was fueled by a regulatory filing from a major shareholder and growing media focus on the company's strategic role in the global supply chain for critical minerals.

Almonty's stock closed Monday's session on the NASDAQ at $9.10, marking a single-day advance of 7.7%. Trading volume exceeded 4 million shares, representing an increase of approximately 63% compared to the previous session. This surge in activity points to renewed interest from both institutional and retail investors.

The catalyst for the movement was an early warning report filed by Deutsche Rohstoff AG, a significant German investment house and major shareholder. The filing disclosed that its voting interest had fallen below the 10% threshold on a diluted basis, now standing at 7.97%. This change is a direct result of the company's completed capital raise of $129.4 million in December 2025, which expanded the total share count.

A key detail for market sentiment was the clarification that Deutsche Rohstoff AG has neither purchased nor sold any securities. The reduction in its percentage holding is purely administrative, stemming from the increased number of shares outstanding. The investor continues to hold over 20.4 million shares and CDIs.

This disclosure appears to have alleviated market concerns about potential large-scale insider selling following the capital raise or the expiration of any lock-up periods.

Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets

Positive market sentiment was further supported by analyst commentary. Firms including D.A. Davidson and Oppenheimer have reiterated their favorable outlooks on the company. Publicly cited price targets reach as high as $12.00 per share, suggesting analysts see considerable upside potential from current trading levels.

Geopolitical Tailwinds and the Sangdong Mine

Separate developments highlighted Almonty's strategic importance. A recent feature in the Korea Times detailed the company's role within U.S. defense supply chains, focusing on the Sangdong tungsten mine in South Korea. Upon reaching full operational capacity, the mine is projected to supply an estimated 40% of global non-Chinese tungsten demand.

This narrative is gaining traction as Western governments actively seek to reduce reliance on authoritarian regimes for critical raw materials. Tungsten is a strategic metal essential for defense, high-technology, and industrial applications.

The concept of a potential "tungsten supercycle" is being discussed alongside increased scrutiny from U.S. legislative bodies, including the Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, regarding supply chain security for critical minerals. In this context, Almonty's acquisition of the Gentung-Browns-Lake project in Montana and its integration into the Sangdong value chain is viewed as a crucial step toward vertical integration.

The recent share price movement aligns with a broader trend: several critical minerals companies listed on the ASX and TSX, particularly those with near-term production in politically stable jurisdictions, have seen increased investor interest this week. Almonty's successful completion of a major financing round and the continued support of its core anchor shareholders distinguish it from smaller competitors facing funding challenges.

Operational Milestones and Technical Outlook

The market's focus now shifts to operational progress. Following the first ore delivery to the run-of-mine pad in late 2025, the Sangdong mine is in the final stages of commissioning.

Key near-term factors include:

• Operational Updates: The market awaits confirmation of stable commercial production rates. Relevant updates are anticipated in the first quarter of 2026.
• Technical Analysis: The stock's breakout above the $8.80 resistance level on high volume signals robust demand, likely including institutional buying. A sustained hold above $9.00 would bring the psychologically important $10.00 level into focus as the next technical zone.
• Corporate Strategy: With concerns about potential sales by Deutsche Rohstoff AG eased, management is expected to prioritize optimizing logistics for tungsten concentrate deliveries to partners in the United States and Israel.

Two primary factors will be decisive in the coming weeks: the successful ramp-up and demonstration of consistent production volumes at Sangdong, and the execution of vertical integration plans between its Korean and Montana assets, which aim to solidify Almonty's position in the critical minerals market.