Clash, Titans

A Clash of Titans: Institutional Investors Defy Michael Burry’s Palantir Warning

07.12.2025 - 17:57:05

Palantir US69608A1088

A stark warning from a famed investor is creating a fascinating divergence on Wall Street. Michael Burry, renowned for his "Big Short" bet against the housing market, has publicly sounded the alarm on Palantir Technologies Inc., drawing a direct parallel to DiamondCluster. This consulting firm famously collapsed during the dot-com bubble of 2000 and was later sold for a fraction of its peak valuation. Burry's message is clear: he views Palantir's current market capitalization of $433 billion as unjustifiable. Yet, in a bold counter-narrative, major institutional players are voting with their capital, acquiring shares aggressively.

The company’s recent operational results provide substantive arguments for the bullish case. Palantir’s third-quarter earnings report delivered a significant beat across key metrics:
* Revenue reached $1.18 billion, surpassing the $1.09 billion consensus forecast.
* Earnings per share came in at $0.21, ahead of the $0.17 analyst expectation.
* The company demonstrated year-over-year revenue growth of 62.8%.

This robust performance, fueled by its artificial intelligence platform and high-profile partnership with Nvidia, continues to drive the growth narrative. However, the valuation question looms large, with the stock trading at a price-to-sales ratio substantially above the industry average, leaving little room for operational missteps.

Major Funds Place Contrary Bets

Despite the high-profile caution, institutional buying activity tells a different story. Recent regulatory filings reveal substantial investments flowing into Palantir stock. Cerity Partners LLC increased its position by 4.4% last Friday, amassing over 774,000 shares valued at approximately $102 million. The move was even more pronounced at Federated Hermes, where the asset manager boosted its stake by 69% during the latest quarter, adding nearly 1.9 million shares. Federated Hermes now holds a total exceeding 4.6 million Palantir shares.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Palantir?

This institutional accumulation, representing hundreds of millions in committed capital, presents a direct challenge to the bearish thesis. It underscores a deep market divide: one side heeds a historical warning, while the other bets heavily on continued technological disruption and growth.

Analyst Sentiment Remains Cautiously Balanced

The view from Wall Street research desks is notably more restrained than the actions of these large buyers. The average analyst price target for Palantir shares sits at $172.28, roughly five percent below recent trading levels. The prevailing recommendation is largely a "hold," not a "buy," signaling that while the company's potential is acknowledged, its premium valuation tempers outright enthusiasm.

A Pivotal Moment for Market Psychology

All eyes are on the market's opening following Burry's public comparison. Palantir's stock price is hovering near its all-time high of $207.52, having advanced for four consecutive sessions prior to the warning. The coming days will test investor conviction. Will the market dismiss the historical analogy as irrelevant to a modern data analytics leader, or will skepticism begin to erode recent gains? The scenario is well-defined: if Palantir's explosive growth trajectory is maintained, the lofty valuation may yet be validated. Should that momentum show signs of faltering, however, the stage could be set for a significant correction.

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