Vail Resorts stock reports fiscal 2027 outlook after earnings

Published on 10/04/2026 at 20:40 | Editorial responsibility: Rafael Müller, Editor-in-Chief AD HOC NEWS

Vail Resorts stock stood at USD 141.15 on October 2, 2026, while fiscal 2026 net income fell to USD 147.5 million. Fiscal 2027 EBITDA guidance points to USD 805 million to USD 865 million.

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Vail Resorts stock (ISIN US91879Q1094) closed at USD 141.15 on October 2, 2026, up 1.55 percent from USD 138.99. The company reported fiscal 2026 results and issued fiscal 2027 guidance on September 28, 2026, with Resort Reported EBITDA expected at USD 805 million to USD 865 million.

Fiscal results show the setback

According to Vail Resorts on September 28, 2026, fiscal 2026 net income attributable to the company fell to USD 147.5 million from USD 280.0 million in fiscal 2025. Total revenue declined to USD 2.838 billion from USD 2.964 billion, a decrease of 4.3 percent.

Resort Reported EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure, fell to USD 745.7 million from USD 844.1 million, while resort net revenue declined 4.5 percent to USD 2.832 billion. The company attributed the pressure primarily to unfavorable weather that reduced visitation at Rocky Mountain and Tahoe resorts.

Pass sales test the recovery

The operating warning is visible in early demand. Pass product units sold through September 18, 2026, fell 12 percent year over year, days sold declined 10 percent and sales dollars decreased 6 percent, according to PR Newswire on September 28, 2026.

Vail Resorts expects fiscal 2027 net income of USD 158 million to USD 233 million and Resort Reported EBITDA of USD 805 million to USD 865 million. The EBITDA midpoint of USD 835 million would be 11.9 percent above the fiscal 2026 result, but the guidance depends on normal weather and a recovery in visitation.

The company also declared a quarterly dividend of USD 2.22 per share, payable on October 27, 2026. That payout keeps the capital-return story visible while pass demand and the next ski season remain the key operating checkpoints.

Analysts see limited upside

According to MarketBeat on October 3, 2026, 14 analysts hold a consensus rating of Hold for Vail Resorts. The average 12-month price target is USD 145.25, with a high of USD 191.00 and a low of USD 117.00; the average target lies 2.90 percent above the October 2 closing price.

The contrast is important: the consensus target points to a measured recovery, while fiscal 2026 showed how quickly weather can reduce earnings. Management's USD 25 million of expected incremental fiscal 2027 efficiencies offers a margin cushion, but it does not remove the demand risk shown by the pass-sales figures.

Stock stays below yearly high

Vail Resorts stock closed at USD 141.15 on the NYSE on October 2, 2026, 13.6 percent below its 52-week high of USD 163.34. Trading volume was 845,573 shares, and the company's market capitalization was USD 5.0 billion as of October 2, 2026.