UGI stock draws a Moderate Buy consensus at USD 45.80 target

Published on 10/06/2026 at 10:36 | Editorial responsibility: Rafael Müller, Editor-in-Chief AD HOC NEWS

UGI stock was last at USD 36.78 on October 5, 2026, after Q3 revenue reached USD 1.33 billion. Adjusted fiscal 2026 EPS guidance stayed at USD 2.75-2.90.

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UGI stock carries a Moderate Buy consensus with an average target of USD 45.80 from eight analysts, while the shares closed at USD 36.78 on the NYSE on October 5, 2026. The valuation debate follows a mixed fiscal Q3 2026 report and renewed analyst attention on the energy distributor.

Quarterly revenue misses estimates

According to MarketBeat on October 5, 2026, UGI reported fiscal Q3 revenue of USD 1.33 billion against an analyst estimate of USD 1.50 billion. The USD 170 million gap came with earnings per share of negative USD 0.20 versus a consensus loss of USD 0.08.

The result is period-specific rather than a broad earnings trend: the finance data for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, show revenue of USD 1.331 billion, operating profit of negative USD 44 million and net income of negative USD 133 million. The revenue miss gives the current analyst debate a clear counterweight to the positive target-price picture.

Guidance remains above quarterly result

UGI's nine-month picture is stronger than the latest quarter alone. In its Q3 2026 summary dated September 15, 2026, Quartr reported adjusted diluted EPS of USD 3.17 for the first nine months, down from USD 3.55 in the prior-year period. Nine-month revenue was USD 6.10 billion, nearly flat year over year, and operating cash flow reached USD 972 million.

Management reaffirmed adjusted diluted EPS guidance of USD 2.75-2.90 for fiscal 2026, according to Quartr. The guidance range places the full-year outlook above the negative third-quarter EPS figure and keeps the focus on seasonal performance, regulated utility earnings and AmeriGas execution.

Analysts see value above the market price

MarketBeat said Scotiabank maintained a Strong Buy view and forecast fiscal 2026 earnings of USD 2.81 per share on October 1, 2026. The same report said Jefferies had raised its UGI rating from Hold to Buy and lifted its target from USD 40.00 to USD 43.00 on September 9, 2026.

The consensus target of USD 45.80 stands 24.5 percent above the October 5 closing price of USD 36.78. UGI's 52-week range was USD 31.62 to USD 41.34, so the closing price sat USD 4.56 below the yearly high while the market capitalization was USD 7.9 billion.

UGI stock closes at USD 36.78

UGI stock closed at USD 36.78 on the NYSE on October 5, 2026, down USD 0.42 or 1.13 percent from the prior close. The market is weighing a USD 1.33 billion quarterly revenue result against reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance of USD 2.75-2.90.