TUI stock falls 2.47 percent as guidance narrows to EUR 1.3 billion

Published on 10/05/2026 at 20:13 | Editorial responsibility: Rafael Müller, Editor-in-Chief AD HOC NEWS

TUI stock faces a tighter fiscal 2026 EBIT range of EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.3 billion after later bookings. Barclays kept Overweight while cutting its target to EUR 8.75.

Isometrische 3D-Grafik der touristischen Wertschöpfungskette von Buchung bis Hotel — TUI AG (DE000TUAG505) illustriert isometrisch die touristische Wertschöpfungskette von Reisebüro über Flug bis Hotel, Illustration mit AI erstellt.

TUI stock (ISIN DE000TUAG505) was last at EUR 6.73 on Xetra on October 5, 2026, down 2.47 percent from the prior close. The main operating signal remains TUI's September 22 guidance update, which narrowed fiscal 2026 underlying EBIT to EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.3 billion.

Guidance gets tighter

According to TUI Group on September 22, 2026, the new underlying EBIT range replaced the previous EUR 1.1 billion to EUR 1.4 billion range. The midpoint stayed at EUR 1.25 billion, while fiscal 2025 underlying EBIT was EUR 1,413 million.

The update also showed a split operating picture. Summer 2026 booked revenue in Markets + Airline was down 5 percent year over year, but bookings for the latest four-week period were up 2 percent, while winter 2026/27 booked revenue was down 7 percent and only 1 percent below the comparable recent period.

Demand meets travel risk

TUI's guidance assumes no material escalation in geopolitical tensions and continued fuel supplies, making external costs a direct factor in the earnings range. Reuters reported on September 22, 2026, that later customer bookings and higher jet fuel costs were weighing on the outlook.

The company has also kept revenue guidance suspended, according to TUI Group. For investors, the key test is whether stronger late bookings can offset weaker forward visibility and cost pressure before the fiscal year closes.

Analyst target stays higher

wallstreetONLINE reported on October 2, 2026, that Barclays cut its 12-month target from EUR 9.75 to EUR 8.75 while retaining an Overweight rating. The new target lies 30.1 percent above the EUR 6.73 Xetra price.

MarketScreener listed an Outperform consensus from 13 analysts, with an average target of EUR 9.927. That target lies 47.5 percent above the October 5 price, although the latest Barclays revision shows that analysts are also adjusting estimates to the booking environment.

Stock trades below yearly high

TUI stock was last at EUR 6.73 on Xetra on October 5, 2026, with a 52-week range of EUR 6.08 to EUR 9.56. The price stood 29.6 percent below the yearly high, while market capitalization was EUR 3.4 billion and trading volume was 3,199,293 shares.