TUI narrows EBIT guidance as TUI stock falls 1.45 percent

Published on 10/01/2026 at 10:23 | Editorial responsibility: Rafael Müller, Editor-in-Chief AD HOC NEWS

TUI expects underlying EBIT of EUR 1.20-1.30 billion for fiscal 2026 versus EUR 1.413 billion. TUI stock costs EUR 6.81 on October 1, 2026 after EUR 6.91.

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TUI (ISIN DE000TUAG505) was trading at EUR 6.81 at Lang & Schwarz on October 1, 2026 at 10:09 a.m. CEST, down 1.45 percent versus EUR 6.91 on September 30, 2026. On September 22, 2026, TUI Group tightened its fiscal 2026 underlying EBIT guidance to EUR 1.20 billion to EUR 1.30 billion from EUR 1.10 billion to EUR 1.40 billion.

Guidance narrows around demand

The revised range is below TUI's fiscal 2025 underlying EBIT of EUR 1.413 billion, making the comparison with last year's operating result central to the stock story. The company said the outlook assumes no material escalation in geopolitical tensions and continued fuel supplies.

Reuters reported on September 22, 2026 that TUI expects annual underlying earnings before interest and taxes of EUR 1.20 billion to EUR 1.30 billion, while revenue guidance remains suspended. The report linked the cautious booking pattern to geopolitical uncertainty and higher jet fuel costs.

Bookings improve but remain uneven

TUI's update showed booked revenue in the last four weeks of summer 2026 up 2.00 percent, while the overall summer booked-revenue position was down 5.00 percent year over year. Winter 2026/27 booked revenue was down 7.00 percent at the update date, although the latest four-week trend was only 1.00 percent below the comparable period.

The latest reported quarter adds a second measure of pressure. Markets Insider said TUI reported EUR 5.82 billion of revenue and EUR 82.50 million of net profit for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, compared with EUR 6.20 billion of revenue and EUR 183.10 million of net profit a year earlier.

Analysts see a wider valuation gap

Analyst views remain more optimistic than the immediate earnings comparison. Markets Insider reported on September 21, 2026 that Deutsche Bank maintained a Buy rating and a EUR 10.50 price target. At EUR 6.81, that target lies 54.19 percent above the Lang & Schwarz price.

Stock trades below analyst target

TUI stock was trading at EUR 6.81 at Lang & Schwarz on October 1, 2026 at 10:09 a.m. CEST, down 1.45 percent versus the prior close of EUR 6.91 on September 30, 2026. The company has scheduled its fiscal 2026 results for December 9, 2026, according to Reuters. The further course of trading is shown by the continuously updated real-time quote of TUI stock.