Barclays cut target for TUI stock to EUR 8.75

Published on 10/14/2026 at 09:53 | Editorial responsibility: Rafael Müller, Editor-in-Chief AD HOC NEWS

TUI guided to EUR 1.20-1.30 billion underlying EBIT for fiscal 2026. TUI stock costs EUR 6.66 on October 14, 2026, versus the EUR 6.68 Xetra close.

Analyst view and operating range

Barclays lowered its TUI target from EUR 9.75 to EUR 8.75 on October 2, 2026.
TUI expects underlying EBIT of EUR 1.20-1.30 billion for fiscal 2026.
TUI stock trades at EUR 6.66 at 9:43 a.m. CEST at Lang & Schwarz on October 14, 2026, 0.30 percent below the Xetra close of October 13, 2026.

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TUI (ISIN DE000TUAG505) was trading at EUR 6.66 at Lang & Schwarz at 9:43 a.m. CEST on October 14, 2026, 0.30 percent below the Xetra close of October 13, 2026, at EUR 6.68. The latest analyst action came from Barclays, which cut its target from EUR 9.75 to EUR 8.75 on October 2, 2026, while keeping its Overweight rating, according to Finanznachrichten.

Three events reset the outlook

On August 12, 2026, TUI reported second-quarter revenue of EUR 5.82 billion and net profit of EUR 82.5 million, compared with EUR 6.20 billion and EUR 183.1 million a year earlier, according to The Globe and Mail.

On September 22, 2026, TUI tightened its fiscal 2026 underlying EBIT guidance to EUR 1.20 billion to EUR 1.30 billion from EUR 1.10 billion to EUR 1.40 billion. The company also said booked revenue in the last four weeks had risen 2 percent, while the full-year revenue outlook remained suspended, according to TUI Group.

On October 2, 2026, Barclays lowered its target to EUR 8.75 from EUR 9.75 but retained Overweight. The revised target is EUR 2.09 above the current Lang & Schwarz price, a gap of 31.38 percent calculated against EUR 6.66.

What does the guidance range imply?

TUI's operating range points to a narrower profit corridor, not a simple growth signal. The September update showed summer booked revenue 5 percent below the prior year, while winter booked revenue stood 7 percent lower at that stage.

The company linked the booking pattern to later customer decisions and geopolitical uncertainty. It also reported that average selling prices remained resilient, with average daily rates up 4 percent in the fourth quarter and 1 percent for the first half of fiscal 2027, according to TUI Group.

Next results arrive in December

TUI has scheduled its fiscal 2026 results for December 9, 2026. That date gives investors a defined checkpoint for testing whether the narrowed EUR 1.20 billion to EUR 1.30 billion underlying EBIT range is supported by bookings, pricing and capacity discipline, as Reuters reported on September 22, 2026.

Stock trades below the analyst target

TUI stock was trading at EUR 6.66 at Lang & Schwarz at 9:43 a.m. CEST on October 14, 2026, 0.30 percent below the Xetra close of October 13, 2026, at EUR 6.68. The 52-week range was EUR 6.08 to EUR 9.56, and market capitalization was EUR 3.4 billion as of October 14, 2026.

The further course of trading is shown by the continuously updated real-time quote of TUI stock.